In this video, I talk about risk versus reward. Without a doubt, this is one of the most basic money management fundamentals that you have to follow. The one thing that you have to understand about trading is that you are not going to win all of your trades. The reality is that you are going to have losses from time to time. By using risk to reward analysis, you can help increase the odds in your favor longer-term.
For example, if you’re risking 1 in order to make 5, you only need to be in order to break even. However, if you are risking 1 to make 1, you will likely lose money over the longer term as the losses will wipe out gains much quicker.
Looking at a few trades, you can see that the first one is a massive hammer that formed at the bottom of the downtrend. This is typically a reversal signal, but if you use classic technical analysis and trading technique, you can see that on the hammer you would have to risk something akin to 550 pips. Now looking at the trade itself, you have to ask yourself how far can this particular pair go? In this case, you can make a real argument for the 155 level, but the problem is that you’re working against the trend. Because of this, you have to take that into account, and you can also find quite a bit noise on this chart at the 153 level, meaning that you are more than likely going to get 250 pips. This is an absolutely horrible risk to reward ratio and therefore this isn’t the type of trade that you want to take as you would almost always have to be correct on these setups.
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